The recession is coming, the recession is coming ...

Started by Baruch, May 23, 2019, 06:49:41 PM

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Baruch

"In science, progress is cumulative â€" we stand on the shoulders of giants.   In finance, progress is cyclical â€" we keep stepping on the same rake." - Jim Grant

Last December, international trade took a nosedive, and still is heading to the bottom ... same pattern as 2009.  This is because of the trade war, the excesses of buying votes thru socialism (both in US, EU and China), the cyclical nature of a credit driven expansion that is long in the tooth, and the political uncertainty in China, US and Europe.

Is economics like Highlander (1986) ...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=omOZyLmNMJs

In the end, there can be only one? ... "one nation, under G-d, indivisible, with liberty and justice for all".  Sorry USSR, sorry EU, sorry PRC ... you will never be America.
Ha’át’íísh baa naniná?
Azee’ Å,a’ish nanídį́į́h?
Táadoo ánít’iní.
What are you doing?
Are you taking any medications?
Don't do that.

Cavebear

I got out of most of the stock market last year expecting that Trump would REALLY screw up the domestic and world economy.  The market is more resilient than I thought, but I haven't lost any ground.  I'm still betting it gets worse before it gets better...
Atheist born, atheist bred.  And when I die, atheist dead!

Baruch

Quote from: Cavebear on May 26, 2019, 02:23:40 AM
I got out of most of the stock market last year expecting that Trump would REALLY screw up the domestic and world economy.  The market is more resilient than I thought, but I haven't lost any ground.  I'm still betting it gets worse before it gets better...

As a Democrat, you should move all your money to Uranium One, in Moscow ;-)

The outcome of the trade wars is unclear, but there will be casualties.  CNN is laying off.  British Steel is closing.
Ha’át’íísh baa naniná?
Azee’ Å,a’ish nanídį́į́h?
Táadoo ánít’iní.
What are you doing?
Are you taking any medications?
Don't do that.

Cavebear

Quote from: Baruch on May 26, 2019, 04:14:31 AM
As a Democrat, you should move all your money to Uranium One, in Moscow ;-)

The outcome of the trade wars is unclear, but there will be casualties.  CNN is laying off.  British Steel is closing.

I moved nearly all my stocks to money market accounts last year about this time, expecting that Trump would ruin everything.  So far, I'm 3% ahead.  I'm sleeping well.
Atheist born, atheist bred.  And when I die, atheist dead!