What's your best guess how the next election will come out, and how that's going to affect the brexit issue playing forward?
Hahaha ... Clownworld? Let me watch some clips from the recent Joker movie, to get into the mood, and wave my Kekistan flag ...
I have loved watching British political news this past calendar year. Watch it daily and in detail. Kind of like watching macaque monkeys establishing a hierarchy in the zoo ;-) I love those classic British nature shows. As an American I can watch it, like a regular sports game. I have no skin in it. American politics is too painful to watch.
The goal of all 1st world major elections is to make the result as close as possible, that makes it easier to "queer" them (the Deep State has controlled the Five Eyes since 1942). The 2016 Trump vs Clinton, 2016 Scottish secession, 2016 Brexit, 2017 GB general election (Labour came from behind at the last minute, so Tories didn't get the majority expected, they were castrated with Trojan DUP support, from the beginning (the Irish Border problem).
The Labour leadership will be close enough to winning, that they won't purge Corbyn or the other Hard Left. Basically was already happened in the US. Corbyn and Hillary are too useful as boogiemen to the Deep State (joined at the hip between GB and US since WW II). I can already predict a hung Dem Convention, that will call on Hillary to run again ;-))
DUP has dumped their alliance over the Johnson deal. A government under PM May, was more like an Italian government, constantly facing disintegration within the Tories, with DUP as the Trojan Horse, and Labour/LibDem/SNP with Speaker Bercow, acting as disloyal opposition. The Brexit Party and the LibDems have lost most of their Summer luster, as voters return to the tried and true 2-party car crash system.
Like the US, but the US is even more un-supporting of 3rd parties. In both cases, the electoral system supports 2-parties only, you have to change the electoral system in both cases (to proportional representation basically) to make any 3rd party viable. But that pushes you toward an Italian style coalition-of-factions government. Pay me now or pay me later but pay the public will.
We don't know PM Johnson's popularity yet. Pre-election polls are propaganda (2016 election polls showing Hillary winning). And the British MP system operates very differently from the US House system. My guess is ... PM Johnson will come very close to losing to the Remain un-coalition. But will squeak by with a negligible majority. He will keep his job, but no mandate.
This minimizes his negotiation powers over the next phase of Brexit (first part was the leaving part, the second part is the trade negotiation part). This is basically PM May's deal with some significant improvements. But the improvements can still be skuppered by a resisting Parliament. As in any governing party, you can't stay in power, or obtain power, without promising everything to everybody. This makes delivery comical.
All political parties are sock puppets to the Deep State/Deep Globalist coalition. Originally Rothschilds in GB/France/Germany and Pinkertons in the US. Nations are too big, too much money involved, to allow citizens to really have any true say except at the margins where it doesn't matter. Basically like pro-wrestling, but without the funny Lucha Libre masks.
Any actual Brexit political/economic impact will be minimized. It was too popular to directly overturn it and surprised the Tories. But as a minimal change, the fewest applecarts will be overturned. Of course events might fly out of control. The Masterminds sometimes fall on their face, like 1914-1945. WW I and WW II could both have been avoided, if the European stuffed shirts hadn't been consumed with hubris.
The whole point of the Scottish secession poll and the Brexit poll was as hushpuppies to the British voters, to take pressure off the PM Cameron government cause by Mr Farage. PM May was put in because PM Cameron quit (his hubris allowed Brexit to become possible) and she was a Trojan Remainer. So is PM Johnson, who came in as next choice after PM May, and is also a closet Remainer, but with more panache. He lost in the 2016 Tory leadership contest, because he is considered too much of a loose cannon.
There will be a huge fight over carrying out the initial part of the PM Johnson agreement, but after lines in the sand are drawn (for the benefit of near sighted voters), the real fight over a castrated trade deal will commence. Basically what happened 2016-2019 Mark 2.0.
